Tuesday, November 07, 2006
First fantasy trade of the year
Well, I was offered Raymond Felton and Shane Battier for Mike Miller. I accepted without even negotiating. Miller was drafted in our league after both players I got out of the deal.
MM has looked good early as he is taking tons of shots as the main scoring option for the Grizzlies. However, my team is not really focused on scoring anyway and I already have tons of 3s with Marion, Nash, Billups, Rasheed, and Jason Terry.
Battier is a very underrated fantasy player who is more useful to me since he consistently contributes in the defensive categories and also chips in almost everywhere else. Houston has more weapons than Memphis, obviously, but he should still see tons of minutes and if Yao or TMac get hurt he would play a larger role in the offense.
In the end, I had Battier and Miller pretty close so the key to me was getting Felton as well. He was disappointing to start the season but I saw him go as high as the 4th-5th round in some "industry" drafts. He put up great numbers after the break last year and put up 23 pts with 4 threes, 5 boards, and 6 assists in his last game. Felton would have more value if he was playing the point, but I still think he'll get his share of assists and steals and he's proven he can be a scorer. His FG% and turnovers are concerning, but I dropped Rafer Alston to make this transaction who is essentially an older version of Felton who shoots even worse and also manages to shoot for a bad FT%.
Overall, I was happy this was offered to me. I am high on both Battier and Felton and I think both of them will improve my team.
MM has looked good early as he is taking tons of shots as the main scoring option for the Grizzlies. However, my team is not really focused on scoring anyway and I already have tons of 3s with Marion, Nash, Billups, Rasheed, and Jason Terry.
Battier is a very underrated fantasy player who is more useful to me since he consistently contributes in the defensive categories and also chips in almost everywhere else. Houston has more weapons than Memphis, obviously, but he should still see tons of minutes and if Yao or TMac get hurt he would play a larger role in the offense.
In the end, I had Battier and Miller pretty close so the key to me was getting Felton as well. He was disappointing to start the season but I saw him go as high as the 4th-5th round in some "industry" drafts. He put up great numbers after the break last year and put up 23 pts with 4 threes, 5 boards, and 6 assists in his last game. Felton would have more value if he was playing the point, but I still think he'll get his share of assists and steals and he's proven he can be a scorer. His FG% and turnovers are concerning, but I dropped Rafer Alston to make this transaction who is essentially an older version of Felton who shoots even worse and also manages to shoot for a bad FT%.
Overall, I was happy this was offered to me. I am high on both Battier and Felton and I think both of them will improve my team.
Labels: Fantasy basketball
Monday, November 06, 2006
B-ball draft recap
So, I have learned that among my friends, fantasy basketball is the most fun fantasy sport. In my opinion, it takes more skill than fantasy football, there are way more strategies and viable players (making trades more common), and for some reason it inspires a lot of trash talk among us, which is fun.
Here's the results and my commentary on our 8-team draft, in which we play PG, SG, SF, PF, C, Util, Util positions with an 8-man bench. I'm going to try to blog more during the basketball season so I can look back to see what went right or wrong.
(Apparently I am not good at tables, so scroll down to read.)
Here's the results and my commentary on our 8-team draft, in which we play PG, SG, SF, PF, C, Util, Util positions with an 8-man bench. I'm going to try to blog more during the basketball season so I can look back to see what went right or wrong.
(Apparently I am not good at tables, so scroll down to read.)
| 1 | L. James | Chris | |
| 2 | K. Garnett | Randy | I had him ranked just ahead of LeBron. |
| 3 | S. Marion | Me | Was very happy to get him at 3 since he was #1 on my list. I had LeBron last year, and although he is fun to own and a fantasy monster, he has some definite flaws in a 9-cat league, namely a large amount of turnovers and occasional stretches where his percentages kill you. The Matrix is in his prime and should not be severely affected by the presence of Amare, who I don't think will reach full strength this season. |
| 4 | D. Wade | Kyle | TOs hurt but PG eligibility is a big plus. |
| 5 | D. Nowitzki | Derek | |
| 6 | K. Bryant | Rick | Too high for me, but if healthy hard to argue. |
| 7 | G. Arenas | Mark | |
| 8 | E. Brand | Jeremy | |
| 9 | C. Paul | Jeremy | Can he really improve on last year? Probably. |
| 10 | P. Pierce | Mark | Owned him last year; does it all. Together with Arenas, Mark might lose TOs every week. |
| 11 | A. Kirilenko | Rick | Rick should probably not have gone for an injury risk here with Kobe in the 1st. |
| 12 | Y. Ming | Derek | |
| 13 | C. Bosh | Kyle | Loved owning him last year, but plantar fasciitis really scares me. |
| 14 | S. Nash | Me | Wanted a PG and with Marion around, didn't need a huge steals guy. Nash provides all the other classic PG stats in droves. Owning two top players on the same team isn't ideal, but it worked for me last year with Kidd and Carter. |
| 15 | A. Iverson | Randy | Good guy to pair with Garnett. |
| 16 | T. Duncan | Chris | |
| 17 | M. Redd | Chris | No way I take Redd over Allen here. |
| 18 | R. Allen | Randy | A steal at 18. Wish he had fallen one more. |
| 19 | C. Billups | Me | Couldn't resist the temptation to grab two top PGs. Billups should be huge again this year with Big Ben out of town. With Nash and Billups alone, I am very strong in assists and FT% every week. |
| 20 | T. McGrady | Kyle | He owned him last year and has not learned his lesson. |
| 21 | V. Carter | Derek | |
| 22 | B. Diaw | Rick | A reach here IMO. Not sure he can repeat last year. |
| 23 | R. Lewis | Mark | |
| 24 | J. Smith | Jeremy | I love his potential as much as the next guy, but I felt like there were too many proven players available for him to go here. |
| 25 | L. Odom | Jeremy | Surprised to see him go this high, although his stats say he's worth it. |
| 26 | J. O'Neal | Mark | |
| 27 | C. Anthony | Rick | If Kobe is healthy Rick will be very strong in points. |
| 28 | J. Johnson | Derek | Might trade some assists for 3s this year which hurts his value slightly IMO. |
| 29 | M. Bibby | Kyle | |
| 30 | R. Wallace | Me | Two Suns, two Pistons. What the hell. There are worse teams to do that with, I guess. Hoping 'Sheed will step up his rebounding this year and keep blocking shots. The 3s are a bonus if he can keep those up too. Getting his C eligibility back is entirely possible and would be very nice. |
| 31 | D. Howard | Randy | Felt this was too high given his problems with TOs and especially at the line. Randy has some other good FT shooters but Dwight is bad enough to drag you down on his own. The boards and FG% are great but I don't like taking guys that can hurt you pretty bad in two categories this high. |
| 32 | A. Stoudemire | Chris | If he plays 65 games or averages 25 mpg I'll be surprised. |
| 33 | J. Richardson | Chris | Another injury risk. |
| 34 | G. Wallace | Randy | Gerald is a lot of fun to own for his truly amazing defensive stats. Of course, the injuries are a big worry. Also note that Randy has gone from very good in FT% to average at best in the span of two picks. |
| 35 | M. Camby | Me | Had to take my own injury risk here. Didn't have a center yet and was worried about a run. When healthy, Camby can be the top fantasy C in the league. Of course, he's already hurt and will likely stay that way but I had to go for it. |
| 36 | M. Okur | Kyle | Little surprised he went this high although I think he should have a good season |
| 37 | C. Boozer | Derek | |
| 38 | B. Wallace | Rick | |
| 39 | B. Miller | Mark | There was indeed a run on Cs. |
| 40 | J. Kidd | Jeremy | Wasn't surprised he fell, although wasn't expecting it to be this far. I would have grabbed him at 35 if I didn't already have Nash and Billups. |
| 41 | K. Hinrich | Jeremy | |
| 42 | A. Jamison | Mark | |
| 43 | T. Parker | Rick | Pretty big reach here with some potential breakout PGs left on the board. Doubt he'll keep that FG% so high this year. |
| 44 | R. Artest | Derek | Roll the dice! |
| 45 | R. Jefferson | Kyle | Was really hoping he'd drop to me, but didn't quite make it. He's underrated. |
| 46 | Z. Ilgauskas | Me | Couldn't decide which direction to go here. Finally decided that Z would be a good choice to pair with Camby. He's not the picture of health either, but he's only missed a few games the last four years and has been a solid contributor. I was insanely thin at center last year and did not want to repeat that. |
| 47 | A. Miller | Randy | Too high for my tastes, he looks out of shape. |
| 48 | S. Cassell | Chris | Probably the worst pick of the draft. The rest of us had a good time with this one. Chris was apparently using Yahoo's rankings that look only at last year's stats or something. Just an awful pick with Livingston around. |
| 49 | M. Peterson | Chris | Another pretty questionable pick; mid-level swingmen were still plentiful & he wasn't even the best of them. |
| 50 | C. Kaman | Randy | Easily the best C available at this point. |
| 51 | J. Terry | Me | Wanted to grab another PG-eligible player, and although I don’t love owning Terry, he does in fact put up good SG-like numbers. Hoping he gets SG eligibility early. Of course, I didn't realize he had a foot injury or I might not have drafted him here, but it sounds minor so I'm not too worried. |
| 52 | B. Davis | Kyle | Could be a steal but his horrible percentages always scare me. |
| 53 | J. Nelson | Derek | |
| 54 | A. Bogut | Rick | Fairly high for Bogut but centers were getting limited and he could breakout. |
| 55 | M. James | Mark | Signs point to "anomaly" IMO |
| 56 | P. Stojakovic | Jeremy | Another guy who fell, but I just don't like him this year. His shot is nowhere near as consistent as it once was. |
| 57 | R. Felton | Jeremy | |
| 58 | C. Butler | Mark | Was targeting him, should be a great value here. |
| 59 | Z. Randolph | Rick | I think he'll have a good year, but he simply doesn't help in enough categories. |
| 60 | C. Villanueva | Derek | |
| 61 | D. West | Kyle | Great pick if he plays anything like last year. |
| 62 | A. Iguodala | Me | Still didn't have an SG-eligible player. AI2 supplements my steals nicely, and I am hoping for improvement in other categories as well. |
| 63 | J. Howard | Randy | |
| 64 | S. Marbury | Chris | Many people are looking for a bounceback year. I don’t like his chances with all the guards in NY. Too risky here, although he's a better bet than Cassell. |
| 65 | R. Hamilton | Chris | Chris had abandoned his own rankings at this point and was mooching off of other people's. Loser. |
| 66 | C. Webber | Randy | |
| 67 | T. Murphy | Me | Wanted to go big again. Thought about Emeka, but Murphy seems like a safer bet and should gain C eligibility soon. He's not a "classic" big, but he is still young and could put up big numbers in the Warriors system this year. |
| 68 | P. Gasol | Kyle | |
| 69 | S. O'Neal | Derek | Had him ranked 115th (ie there was no way I was drafting him) |
| 70 | T. Ford | Rick | I like TJ ok but this is another reach IMO. |
| 71 | H. Turkoglu | Mark | Hedo is underrated - he contributes in several categories and should get plenty of minutes. I was targeting him, but was surprised to see him go this high. |
| 72 | B. Roy | Jeremy | I like him, but this could be a reach. Jeremy drafted Chris Paul last year though, so he knows rookies can make your season. |
| 73 | S. Battier | Jeremy | Good value and another guy I thought would fall farther based on his ADP. |
| 74 | M. Williams | Mark | |
| 75 | M. Ginobili | Rick | Value pick, although I personally don’t like Manu to stay healthy this year. |
| 76 | D. Williams | Derek | |
| 77 | E. Okafor | Kyle | Thought he'd go higher with his C-eligibility, but I guess everyone else is as worried about his health as I am. |
| 78 | M. Miller | Me | Needed another swingman and he could be a steal here, especially considering the situation in Memphis. I had him rated higher than MoPete who went almost 30 picks earlier. |
| 79 | C. Maggette | Randy | |
| 80 | R. Bell | Chris | Good value |
| 81 | A. Harrington | Chris | |
| 82 | N. Krstic | Randy | |
| 83 | S. Dalembert | Me | Injury-prone centers are OK if you draft tons of them, right? Right? Couldn't resist Sam's block potential here. |
| 84 | L. Hughes | Kyle | |
| 85 | B. Gordon | Derek | |
| 86 | A. Morrison | Rick | Hmmm. All he does is score and he's not even starting yet |
| 87 | A. Nocioni | Mark | Skiles alert! |
| 88 | D. Granger | Jeremy | Good sleeper |
| 89 | T. Chandler | Jeremy | Ugh. Jeremy's center situation is dire |
| 90 | D. Milicic | Mark | |
| 91 | D. Gooden | Rick | Will go way up in value if he gets C-eligibility |
| 92 | C. Frye | Derek | I like him this year |
| 93 | K. Martin | Kyle | Another guy I like and was surprised to see him go this high given his ADP. (Most of) my leaguemates read up this year. |
| 94 | R. Davis | Me | I'm not that high on Ricky this year, but I think he's still a good value this low. He's still likely the #2 scoring option even with James around. |
| 95 | C. Wilcox | Randy | Big contract = bust? |
| 96 | L. Ridnour | Chris | Still scrambling to make up for that Cassell pick… |
| 97 | Z. Pachulia | Chris | Zaza was way down my list of centers. He hurts you in too many categories. |
| 98 | S. Claxton | Randy | |
| 99 | W. Szczerbiak | Me | Statistically, this is a steal. He can score and help in 3s & percentages. We'll see if the knees hold up. |
| 100 | M. Williams | Kyle | |
| 101 | S. Francis | Derek | Total mystery as to what he'll do this season. Could be a great pick, could be a waste. |
| 102 | E. Curry | Rick | Could improve this year but he still is a limited contributor |
| 103 | R. Foye | Mark | |
| 104 | S. Swift | Jeremy | Already been dropped for S. Livingston, who should have much more value |
| 105 | N. Mohammed | Jeremy | He should get a lot more minutes this year and have value… but he's still Nazr Mohammed |
| 106 | R. Gomes | Mark | Too high for me given competition from Al Jefferson |
| 107 | K. Martin | Rick | Don't see him doing much this year. |
| 108 | E. Jones | Derek | Another guy whose actual contributions are better than his perceived value, but he's so damn old! |
| 109 | T. Prince | Kyle | Very good pick here. Boring to own, but he's way better than the 109th best fantasy player in the league. |
| 110 | R. Alston | Me | He's incredibly frustrating to own because he just can't shoot, but a starting PG that gets plenty of assists is a rarity this late |
| 111 | M. Dunleavy | Randy | Much-maligned, if he could play consistently he would be great |
| 112 | S. Abdur-Rahim | Chris | |
| 113 | J. Jack | Chris | |
| 114 | L. Walton | Randy | Seems like quite a flyer with plenty of viable players still left |
| 115 | C. Mobley | Me | Another guy I've owned in the past and been disappointed with, but even on the downside of his career he's definitely worth a last-round pick |
| 116 | S. Jackson | Kyle | |
| 117 | B. Wells | Derek | |
| 118 | G. Hill | Rick | |
| 119 | D. West | Mark | If I thought he'd get plenty of minutes I'd have drafted him 3 or 4 rounds ago |
| 120 | A. Bynum | Jeremy | Yeah, he REALLY needed a center - although there were better ones on the board, he is worth a flyer |
Labels: Fantasy basketball